What are the odds of Obama making his way to the top again? Good. Why are the odd so good?
Well, first of all, unemployment is a pretty big factor. More important than the actual unemployment figure is the trends. If unemployment is coming down, it will look better for Obama, even though it's still high.
Secondly, more important than unemployment is the alternative vision presented by the Republicans. At this point, they don't have one! There's no better way to ensure a second term for Obama than for the Republicans to continue to rely on simply bashing everything Obama does and promising that more tax cuts, will fix all our problems.
At this point, if I were betting, I'd bet on Obama getting a second term.
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